Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 8:12 PM to 8:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.7544. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.25-8.053.15Sep 14, 8:12 PM ET8:41 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.25-8.053.15Sep 14, 8:12 PM ET8:41 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:12 PM ET-20.7544
Projected value at 8:41 PM ET0.36811
Actual value at 8:41 PM ET1.62279
Projected change across the window+21.1225
Actual change across the window+22.3772
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (8:32 PM ET), where they sat 0.0111419 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:12 PM ET) with a gap of 20.9202. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (8:19 PM ET), a move of +3.00368. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:13 PM-0.872708-19.3029-18.4302
68:18 PM-3.01061-10.9875-7.97689
128:24 PM-1.76474-1.66176+0.102978
188:30 PM-1.02699-3.08603-2.05904
248:36 PM0.8102274.65441+3.84418
298:41 PM0.368111.62279+1.25468

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.