Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 7:32 PM to 8:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 7:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -15.5904. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.78-3.4247.937Sep 14, 7:32 PM ET8:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.78-3.4247.937Sep 14, 7:32 PM ET8:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:32 PM ET-15.5904
Projected value at 8:01 PM ET0.684856
Actual value at 8:01 PM ET9.4625
Projected change across the window+16.2753
Actual change across the window+25.0529
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.65 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (7:58 PM ET), where they sat 0.531255 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (7:35 PM ET) with a gap of 15.7808. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (8:01 PM ET), a move of +3.925. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:33 PM-1.62463-15.8949-14.2702
67:38 PM-0.373326-12.5059-12.1326
127:44 PM-0.360018-5.3-4.93998
187:50 PM0.643524-3.31471-3.95823
247:56 PM0.385314-5.38088-5.7662
298:01 PM0.6848569.4625+8.77764

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.