Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 6:53 PM to 7:22 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 6:53 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 14.9221. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:22 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.5249.41717.31Sep 14, 6:53 PM ET7:22 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:53 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.5249.41717.31Sep 14, 6:53 PM ET7:22 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:53 PM ET14.9221
Projected value at 7:22 PM ET0.464114
Actual value at 7:22 PM ET2.65074
Projected change across the window-14.4579
Actual change across the window-12.2713
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.18×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.18 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (7:22 PM ET), where they sat 2.18662 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (7:13 PM ET) with a gap of 14.4381. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (7:16 PM ET), a move of -3.03382. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:54 PM9.2910415.5235+6.23249
66:59 PM9.0683614.4985+5.43017
127:05 PM6.3136314.0581+7.74446
187:11 PM4.6051816.8103+12.2051
247:17 PM1.993810.4603+8.46649
297:22 PM0.4641142.65074+2.18662

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.