Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 6:51 PM to 7:20 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 6:51 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.5235. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:20 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.45248.84717.24Sep 14, 6:51 PM ET7:20 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.45248.84717.24Sep 14, 6:51 PM ET7:20 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:51 PM ET15.5235
Projected value at 7:20 PM ET0.556023
Actual value at 7:20 PM ET-0.675
Projected change across the window-14.9675
Actual change across the window-16.1985
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (7:20 PM ET), where they sat 1.23102 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (7:10 PM ET) with a gap of 15.6009. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (7:20 PM ET), a move of -3.32574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:52 PM5.9567415.7338+9.77709
66:57 PM5.758113.3441+7.58602
127:03 PM3.8779913.2912+9.41319
187:09 PM2.9646218.0853+15.1207
247:15 PM1.871528.86985+6.99833
297:20 PM0.556023-0.675-1.23102

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.