Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 6:50 PM to 7:19 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 6:50 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.7338. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:19 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.0476.98717.02Sep 14, 6:50 PM ET7:19 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.0476.98717.02Sep 14, 6:50 PM ET7:19 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:50 PM ET15.7338
Projected value at 7:19 PM ET0.657329
Actual value at 7:19 PM ET-4.39485
Projected change across the window-15.0765
Actual change across the window-20.1287
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (7:18 PM ET), where they sat 1.41811 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (7:08 PM ET) with a gap of 15.6732. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (7:19 PM ET), a move of -3.71985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:51 PM5.2245616.0404+10.8159
66:56 PM5.6430912.5904+6.94735
127:02 PM3.7734312.5824+8.80892
187:08 PM2.6959118.3691+15.6732
247:14 PM1.818687.47059+5.65191
297:19 PM0.657329-4.39485-5.05218

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.