Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 6:49 PM to 7:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 6:49 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 16.0779. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.2226.89417.01Sep 14, 6:49 PM ET7:18 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.2226.89417.01Sep 14, 6:49 PM ET7:18 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:49 PM ET16.0779
Projected value at 7:18 PM ET0.158991
Actual value at 7:18 PM ET-3.44706
Projected change across the window-15.919
Actual change across the window-19.525
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (7:15 PM ET), where they sat 1.40428 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (7:05 PM ET) with a gap of 16.6399. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (7:16 PM ET), a move of -3.71985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:50 PM3.7332415.6743+11.941
66:55 PM3.2101213.311+10.1009
127:01 PM2.3308912.3485+10.0176
187:07 PM1.6431615.3162+13.673
247:13 PM1.054444.75294+3.6985
297:18 PM0.158991-3.44706-3.60605

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.