Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 6:45 PM to 7:14 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 13.3441. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:14 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.2226.89417.01Sep 14, 6:45 PM ET7:14 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:45 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.2226.89417.01Sep 14, 6:45 PM ET7:14 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:45 PM ET13.3441
Projected value at 7:14 PM ET-0.880908
Actual value at 7:14 PM ET6.01985
Projected change across the window-14.225
Actual change across the window-7.32426
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (7:08 PM ET), where they sat 0.745407 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (6:58 PM ET) with a gap of 20.2295. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (7:14 PM ET), a move of +4.75956. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:46 PM-2.6949212.5904+15.2854
66:51 PM-2.4746313.2912+15.7658
126:57 PM-1.9172718.0853+20.0026
187:03 PM-1.960278.86985+10.8301
247:09 PM-1.4184-4.39485-2.97645
297:14 PM-0.8809086.01985+6.90076

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.