Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 1:27 PM to 1:56 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 1:27 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 30.8382. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:56 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.182.12131.42Sep 14, 1:27 PM ET1:56 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:27 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.182.12131.42Sep 14, 1:27 PM ET1:56 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:27 PM ET30.8382
Projected value at 1:56 PM ET-1.40709
Actual value at 1:56 PM ET-18.1507
Projected change across the window-32.2453
Actual change across the window-48.989
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.66×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.66 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (1:39 PM ET), where they sat 0.974189 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (1:47 PM ET) with a gap of 33.2672. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (1:38 PM ET), a move of -7.85515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:28 PM8.8824933.1+24.2175
61:33 PM7.7724333.3051+25.5327
121:39 PM4.511845.48603+0.974189
181:45 PM1.44049-30.0338-31.4743
241:51 PM1.61221-23.7096-25.3218
291:56 PM-1.40709-18.1507-16.7436

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.