Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 1:26 PM to 1:55 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 1:26 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 34.7272. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:55 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.182.12131.42Sep 14, 1:26 PM ET1:55 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.182.12131.42Sep 14, 1:26 PM ET1:55 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:26 PM ET34.7272
Projected value at 1:55 PM ET-1.30362
Actual value at 1:55 PM ET-21.7794
Projected change across the window-36.0308
Actual change across the window-56.5066
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.64 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (1:36 PM ET), where they sat 1.71631 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (1:43 PM ET) with a gap of 32.5079. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (1:35 PM ET), a move of -7.85515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:27 PM7.1901835.2059+28.0157
61:32 PM3.8917528.8816+24.9899
121:38 PM3.58724-7.58235-11.1696
181:44 PM1.26558-31.1184-32.384
241:50 PM0.241446-14.7559-14.9973
291:55 PM-1.30362-21.7794-20.4758

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.