Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 1:24 PM to 1:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 35.3603. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.182.12131.42Sep 14, 1:24 PM ET1:53 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.182.12131.42Sep 14, 1:24 PM ET1:53 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:24 PM ET35.3603
Projected value at 1:53 PM ET-1.3984
Actual value at 1:53 PM ET-17.2449
Projected change across the window-36.7587
Actual change across the window-52.6051
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.70×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.70 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (1:32 PM ET), where they sat 2.46851 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:24 PM ET) with a gap of 33.2205. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (1:31 PM ET), a move of -7.85515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:25 PM3.3755234.2934+30.9179
61:30 PM4.4743520.4691+15.9948
121:36 PM1.66642-20.8978-22.5642
181:42 PM0.712634-28.0471-28.7597
241:48 PM-0.261151-15.5463-15.2852
291:53 PM-1.3984-17.2449-15.8464

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.