Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 12:55 PM to 1:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.2449. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-36.342.23840.81Sep 14, 12:55 PM ET1:24 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-36.342.23840.81Sep 14, 12:55 PM ET1:24 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:55 PM ET-17.2449
Projected value at 1:24 PM ET-1.03274
Actual value at 1:24 PM ET-0.741176
Projected change across the window+16.2121
Actual change across the window+16.5037
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (1:17 PM ET), where they sat 0.0182344 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:55 PM ET) with a gap of 63.2356. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (1:14 PM ET), a move of +9.87279. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:56 PM42.9572-14.6316-57.5888
61:01 PM29.5408-14.514-44.0548
121:07 PM18.653-32.664-51.317
181:13 PM8.83553-22.9375-31.773
241:19 PM0.0923815-1.32868-1.42106
291:24 PM-1.03274-0.741176+0.291564

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.