Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 12:10 PM to 12:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -25.2912. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.19-17.28-2.366Sep 14, 12:10 PM ET12:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.19-17.28-2.366Sep 14, 12:10 PM ET12:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:10 PM ET-25.2912
Projected value at 12:39 PM ET-1.55336
Actual value at 12:39 PM ET-5.89706
Projected change across the window+23.7378
Actual change across the window+19.3941
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.22×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.22 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:37 PM ET), where they sat 0.192451 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (12:14 PM ET) with a gap of 10.0083. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (12:27 PM ET), a move of +4.92941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:11 PM-27.247-29.7301-2.48319
612:16 PM-21.7321-30.1118-8.37971
1212:22 PM-15.0409-18.3015-3.2606
1812:28 PM-9.69892-7.77868+1.92024
2412:34 PM-2.68739-1.92647+0.760918
2912:39 PM-1.55336-5.89706-4.3437

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.