Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 12:03 PM to 12:32 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 12:03 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -26.0206. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:32 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-23.57-5.29112.98Sep 14, 12:03 PM ET12:32 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:03 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-23.57-5.29112.98Sep 14, 12:03 PM ET12:32 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:03 PM ET-26.0206
Projected value at 12:32 PM ET-0.793839
Actual value at 12:32 PM ET15.439
Projected change across the window+25.2267
Actual change across the window+41.4596
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.61×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.61 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (12:27 PM ET), where they sat 0.0948168 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:03 PM ET) with a gap of 23.9195. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (12:30 PM ET), a move of +6.03162. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:04 PM-8.02267-23.7838-15.7612
612:09 PM-17.586-18.9338-1.34785
1212:15 PM-15.0997-3.66838+11.4314
1812:21 PM-8.06587-3.36544+4.70043
2412:27 PM-5.08893-4.99412+0.0948168
2912:32 PM-0.79383915.439+16.2328

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.