Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 11:32 AM to 12:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 11:32 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.0603. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.810416.7232.64Sep 14, 11:32 AM ET12:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.810416.7232.64Sep 14, 11:32 AM ET12:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:32 AM ET20.0603
Projected value at 12:01 PM ET-1.32692
Actual value at 12:01 PM ET3.26176
Projected change across the window-21.3872
Actual change across the window-16.7985
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.27×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.27 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (11:44 AM ET), where they sat 0.0874961 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:32 AM ET) with a gap of 14.7166. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (11:33 AM ET), a move of +2.89338. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:33 AM31.757822.9537-8.80411
611:38 AM19.526717.6574-1.86931
1211:44 AM11.596311.5088-0.0874961
1811:50 AM4.736977.67574+2.93877
2411:56 AM1.54789.73824+8.19044
2912:01 PM-1.326923.26176+4.58868

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.