Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 11:31 AM to 12:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 11:31 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.9949. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.142118.4737.08Sep 14, 11:31 AM ET12:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:31 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.142118.4737.08Sep 14, 11:31 AM ET12:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:31 AM ET23.9949
Projected value at 12:00 PM ET-2.57798
Actual value at 12:00 PM ET3.61324
Projected change across the window-26.5728
Actual change across the window-20.3816
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.30×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.30 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (11:49 AM ET), where they sat 0.634731 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (11:36 AM ET) with a gap of 16.2839. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (11:35 AM ET), a move of -2.82647. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:32 AM37.668324.2971-13.3713
611:37 AM28.487312.7353-15.752
1211:43 AM16.793510.1456-6.64794
1811:49 AM6.869687.50441+0.634731
2411:55 AM0.4321317.70074+7.2686
2912:00 PM-2.577983.61324+6.19122

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.