Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 11:28 AM to 11:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.9581. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.54519.3937.24Sep 14, 11:28 AM ET11:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:28 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.54519.3937.24Sep 14, 11:28 AM ET11:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:28 AM ET22.9581
Projected value at 11:57 AM ET-0.851884
Actual value at 11:57 AM ET3.81691
Projected change across the window-23.81
Actual change across the window-19.1412
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (11:47 AM ET), where they sat 0.277038 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (11:31 AM ET) with a gap of 19.8466. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (11:30 AM ET), a move of -2.82647. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:29 AM38.270520.4838-17.7866
611:34 AM27.016911.2831-15.7338
1211:40 AM15.17388.80441-6.3694
1811:46 AM8.919176.88529-2.03388
2411:52 AM1.63515.79265+4.15754
2911:57 AM-0.8518843.81691+4.6688

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.