Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 10:16 AM to 10:45 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 10:16 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 16.1074. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:45 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.159623.3146.46Sep 14, 10:16 AM ET10:45 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:16 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.159623.3146.46Sep 14, 10:16 AM ET10:45 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:16 AM ET16.1074
Projected value at 10:45 AM ET-2.65605
Actual value at 10:45 AM ET4.38603
Projected change across the window-18.7634
Actual change across the window-11.7213
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.60 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (10:34 AM ET), where they sat 0.103991 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:16 AM ET) with a gap of 33.4582. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (10:20 AM ET), a move of -3.65294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:17 AM43.562316.8529-26.7094
610:22 AM25.35554.51618-20.8393
1210:28 AM16.92894.27279-12.6561
1810:34 AM4.122484.22647+0.103991
2410:40 AM-2.514270.289706+2.80397
2910:45 AM-2.656054.38603+7.04208

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.