Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 9:15 AM to 9:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 9:15 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -24.0603. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.95-6.99110.97Sep 14, 9:15 AM ET9:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:15 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.95-6.99110.97Sep 14, 9:15 AM ET9:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:15 AM ET-24.0603
Projected value at 9:44 AM ET0.0666421
Actual value at 9:44 AM ET-6.52206
Projected change across the window+24.1269
Actual change across the window+17.5382
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.38×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.38 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (9:44 AM ET), where they sat 6.5887 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (9:32 AM ET) with a gap of 37.5452. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (9:18 AM ET), a move of +6.63456. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:16 AM2.62228-18.2029-20.8252
69:21 AM12.5050.964706-11.5403
129:27 AM13.1561-4.90368-18.0598
189:33 AM10.8812-24.8051-35.6864
249:39 AM7.5052-27.3618-34.867
299:44 AM0.0666421-6.52206-6.5887

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.