Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 8:41 AM to 9:10 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 8:41 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -2.40956. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:10 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-35.65-16.562.536Sep 14, 8:41 AM ET9:10 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:41 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-35.65-16.562.536Sep 14, 8:41 AM ET9:10 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:41 AM ET-2.40956
Projected value at 9:10 AM ET4.15469
Actual value at 9:10 AM ET4.925
Projected change across the window+6.56424
Actual change across the window+7.33456
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.89×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.89 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (9:07 AM ET), where they sat 0.00218785 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:41 AM ET) with a gap of 35.808. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (8:44 AM ET), a move of -4.45735. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:42 AM-33.9892-4.79559+29.1936
68:47 AM-18.5601-22.8941-4.33404
128:53 AM-9.97513-17.2493-7.27413
188:59 AM-3.31198-9.88088-6.5689
249:05 AM2.792751.00956-1.78319
299:10 AM4.154694.925+0.770314

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.