Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 8:37 AM to 9:06 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 8:37 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -12.5154. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:06 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-35.68-16.572.535Sep 14, 8:37 AM ET9:06 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:37 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-35.68-16.572.535Sep 14, 8:37 AM ET9:06 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:37 AM ET-12.5154
Projected value at 9:06 AM ET0.713506
Actual value at 9:06 AM ET0.691176
Projected change across the window+13.2289
Actual change across the window+13.2066
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (9:06 AM ET), where they sat 0.0223297 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (8:39 AM ET) with a gap of 16.1765. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (8:46 AM ET), a move of +4.23824. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:38 AM-29.7275-16.414+13.3135
68:43 AM-33.627-25.7779+7.84901
128:49 AM-24.7073-13.6316+11.0757
188:55 AM-12.0914-6.78309+5.30832
249:01 AM-5.527124.58088+10.108
299:06 AM0.7135060.691176-0.0223297

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.