Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 8:35 AM to 9:04 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 8:35 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.7449. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:04 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.66-11.253.165Sep 14, 8:35 AM ET9:04 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:35 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.66-11.253.165Sep 14, 8:35 AM ET9:04 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:35 AM ET-19.7449
Projected value at 9:04 AM ET1.38997
Actual value at 9:04 AM ET-5.10735
Projected change across the window+21.1348
Actual change across the window+14.6375
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.44×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.44 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (9:02 AM ET), where they sat 0.184813 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (8:37 AM ET) with a gap of 21.9477. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (8:42 AM ET), a move of +4.23824. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:36 AM-2.68576-22.8941-20.2084
68:41 AM-4.95098-21.4875-16.5365
128:47 AM-3.48183-10.0125-6.53067
188:53 AM-0.300029-0.793382-0.493353
248:59 AM1.351114.925+3.57389
299:04 AM1.38997-5.10735-6.49732

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.