Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 8:01 AM to 8:30 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 8:01 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.0699. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:30 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.81-15.64-1.466Sep 14, 8:01 AM ET8:30 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:01 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.81-15.64-1.466Sep 14, 8:01 AM ET8:30 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:01 AM ET-20.0699
Projected value at 8:30 AM ET0.437266
Actual value at 8:30 AM ET-7.67794
Projected change across the window+20.5071
Actual change across the window+12.3919
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.65 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (8:22 AM ET), where they sat 0.288535 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (8:15 AM ET) with a gap of 12.82. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (8:17 AM ET), a move of +4.61471. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:02 AM-23.3504-21.2449+2.10554
68:07 AM-22.7435-31.7184-8.9749
128:13 AM-16.8971-26.7051-9.80801
188:19 AM-11.1489-11.9059-0.75703
248:25 AM-3.4743-7.14044-3.66615
298:30 AM0.437266-7.67794-8.11521

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.