Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 7:51 AM to 8:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 7:51 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -23.2574. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-26.15-10.84.549Sep 14, 7:51 AM ET8:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:51 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-26.15-10.84.549Sep 14, 7:51 AM ET8:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:51 AM ET-23.2574
Projected value at 8:20 AM ET0.822054
Actual value at 8:20 AM ET-1.82132
Projected change across the window+24.0794
Actual change across the window+21.436
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.12×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.12 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (7:59 AM ET), where they sat 0.0458411 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:51 AM ET) with a gap of 19.3811. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (8:14 AM ET), a move of +4.83971. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:52 AM-6.85915-25.0184-18.1592
67:57 AM-12.5584-19.5721-7.01366
128:03 AM-7.74639-6.96691+0.779475
188:09 AM-2.14193-8.08309-5.94116
248:15 AM-0.5168776.2+6.71688
298:20 AM0.822054-1.82132-2.64338

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.