Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 7:46 AM to 8:15 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 7:46 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -24.1868. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:15 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.36-8.7884.788Sep 14, 7:46 AM ET8:15 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:46 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.36-8.7884.788Sep 14, 7:46 AM ET8:15 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:46 AM ET-24.1868
Projected value at 8:15 AM ET1.45595
Actual value at 8:15 AM ET-7.60368
Projected change across the window+25.6427
Actual change across the window+16.5831
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.55 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (8:08 AM ET), where they sat 0.37277 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:46 AM ET) with a gap of 22.5301. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (8:04 AM ET), a move of +4.83971. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:47 AM0.189103-19.5721-19.7612
67:52 AM2.16942-7.49338-9.6628
127:58 AM1.31637-7.55-8.86637
188:04 AM3.196344.16618+0.969834
248:10 AM2.50382-1.82132-4.32515
298:15 AM1.45595-7.60368-9.05963

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.