Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 6:58 AM to 7:27 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 6:58 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.6287. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:27 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.02-7.0554.911Sep 14, 6:58 AM ET7:27 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:58 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.02-7.0554.911Sep 14, 6:58 AM ET7:27 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:58 AM ET-20.6287
Projected value at 7:27 AM ET1.05841
Actual value at 7:27 AM ET6.51838
Projected change across the window+21.6871
Actual change across the window+27.1471
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.80 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (7:25 AM ET), where they sat 0.817034 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:58 AM ET) with a gap of 24.3301. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (7:24 AM ET), a move of +4.73676. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:59 AM4.11107-17.7051-21.8162
67:04 AM2.87144-14.7919-17.6634
127:10 AM0.329097-9.39632-9.72542
187:16 AM-0.212025-11.5044-11.2924
247:22 AM0.153622-11.1441-11.2977
297:27 AM1.058416.51838+5.45998

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.