Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 6:56 AM to 7:25 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 6:56 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -14.8551. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:25 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.83-3.9625.906Sep 14, 6:56 AM ET7:25 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:56 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.83-3.9625.906Sep 14, 6:56 AM ET7:25 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:56 AM ET-14.8551
Projected value at 7:25 AM ET-1.32717
Actual value at 7:25 AM ET6.2875
Projected change across the window+13.528
Actual change across the window+21.1426
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.64 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (7:20 AM ET), where they sat 0.466084 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:56 AM ET) with a gap of 20.3206. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (7:20 AM ET), a move of +4.73676. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:57 AM2.99351-12.7309-15.7244
67:02 AM-1.25927-12.1346-10.8753
127:08 AM-3.23319-11.2118-7.97858
187:14 AM-4.04517-13.9882-9.94307
247:20 AM-2.27785-1.81176+0.466084
297:25 AM-1.327176.2875+7.61467

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.