Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 6:14 AM to 6:43 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 6:14 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.0059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:43 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.7153.7217.15Sep 14, 6:14 AM ET6:43 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:14 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.7153.7217.15Sep 14, 6:14 AM ET6:43 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:14 AM ET17.0059
Projected value at 6:43 AM ET0.94784
Actual value at 6:43 AM ET-11.5191
Projected change across the window-16.058
Actual change across the window-28.525
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (6:19 AM ET), where they sat 0.00728744 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (6:37 AM ET) with a gap of 14.2498. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (6:28 AM ET), a move of -4.24779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:15 AM17.903417.1809-0.722512
66:20 AM15.778517.2029+1.42443
126:26 AM11.336414.2493+2.91288
186:32 AM7.21395-1.66765-8.8816
246:38 AM3.45935-9.88897-13.3483
296:43 AM0.94784-11.5191-12.467

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.