Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 5:47 AM to 6:16 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 5:47 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.4765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:16 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.57-3.5423.49Sep 14, 5:47 AM ET6:16 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:47 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.57-3.5423.49Sep 14, 5:47 AM ET6:16 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:47 AM ET-10.4765
Projected value at 6:16 AM ET-0.182424
Actual value at 6:16 AM ET-4.39044
Projected change across the window+10.294
Actual change across the window+6.08603
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.69 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (6:03 AM ET), where they sat 0.950332 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:47 AM ET) with a gap of 14.9114. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (5:51 AM ET), a move of +3.51324. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:48 AM2.99359-11.5191-14.5127
65:53 AM3.48925-0.179412-3.66866
125:59 AM-0.163708-3.79338-3.62967
186:05 AM-1.15747-3.82941-2.67194
246:11 AM-0.368353-8.98971-8.62135
296:16 AM-0.182424-4.39044-4.20802

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.