Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 3:20 AM to 3:49 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 3:20 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -30.5515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:49 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.41-11.245.931Sep 14, 3:20 AM ET3:49 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:20 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.41-11.245.931Sep 14, 3:20 AM ET3:49 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:20 AM ET-30.5515
Projected value at 3:49 AM ET1.11237
Actual value at 3:49 AM ET0.324265
Projected change across the window+31.6638
Actual change across the window+30.8757
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (3:48 AM ET), where they sat 0.244606 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (3:21 AM ET) with a gap of 30.2048. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (3:29 AM ET), a move of +3.63897. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:21 AM-0.50917-30.714-30.2048
63:26 AM3.76372-17.6772-21.4409
123:32 AM8.23707-2.16912-10.4062
183:38 AM6.09245-6.70956-12.802
243:44 AM2.92588-0.658824-3.5847
293:49 AM1.112370.324265-0.788104

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.