Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 2:05 AM to 2:34 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 2:05 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.9066. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:34 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.44715.2331.91Sep 14, 2:05 AM ET2:34 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:05 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.44715.2331.91Sep 14, 2:05 AM ET2:34 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:05 AM ET22.9066
Projected value at 2:34 AM ET-0.521946
Actual value at 2:34 AM ET-3.68676
Projected change across the window-23.4286
Actual change across the window-26.5934
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (2:32 AM ET), where they sat 0.247579 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (2:09 AM ET) with a gap of 15.9503. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (2:32 AM ET), a move of -4.17647. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:06 AM19.406426.0243+6.61788
62:11 AM17.047928.7941+11.7462
122:17 AM12.575420.4772+7.90181
182:23 AM7.2288915.4632+8.23435
242:29 AM2.3746110.6809+8.30628
292:34 AM-0.521946-3.68676-3.16482

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.