Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 2:04 AM to 2:33 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 2:04 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.0243. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:33 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.18514.8431.86Sep 14, 2:04 AM ET2:33 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:04 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.18514.8431.86Sep 14, 2:04 AM ET2:33 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:04 AM ET26.0243
Projected value at 2:33 AM ET0.795972
Actual value at 2:33 AM ET-4.47132
Projected change across the window-25.2283
Actual change across the window-30.4956
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (2:30 AM ET), where they sat 1.65359 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (2:07 AM ET) with a gap of 16.3342. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (2:30 AM ET), a move of -4.17647. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:05 AM17.738729.7544+12.0157
62:10 AM15.496926.2875+10.7906
122:16 AM12.329720.6331+8.30339
182:22 AM8.6951114.1831+5.48797
242:28 AM3.03438.82059+5.78629
292:33 AM0.795972-4.47132-5.2673

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.