Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 2:01 AM to 2:30 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 2:01 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 34.1449. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:30 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.18514.8431.86Sep 14, 2:01 AM ET2:30 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:01 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.18514.8431.86Sep 14, 2:01 AM ET2:30 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:01 AM ET34.1449
Projected value at 2:30 AM ET-0.625152
Actual value at 2:30 AM ET0.266176
Projected change across the window-34.77
Actual change across the window-33.8787
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (2:24 AM ET), where they sat 0.366459 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:01 AM ET) with a gap of 29.2206. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (2:24 AM ET), a move of -4.17647. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:02 AM6.9209931.4963+24.5753
62:07 AM6.732920.6581+13.9252
122:13 AM6.4396620.8301+14.3905
182:19 AM4.0710113.3419+9.2709
242:25 AM0.720592-2.35-3.07059
292:30 AM-0.6251520.266176+0.891329

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.