Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 12:11 AM to 12:40 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 12:11 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.589. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:40 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-33.78-5.3923Sep 14, 12:11 AM ET12:40 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:11 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-33.78-5.3923Sep 14, 12:11 AM ET12:40 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:11 AM ET26.589
Projected value at 12:40 AM ET0.0432999
Actual value at 12:40 AM ET-21.1684
Projected change across the window-26.5457
Actual change across the window-47.7574
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (12:18 AM ET), where they sat 1.10371 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (12:31 AM ET) with a gap of 35.6228. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (12:20 AM ET), a move of -7.96985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:12 AM1.2337226.8154+25.5817
612:17 AM-4.804313.38456+8.18887
1212:23 AM-3.85168-32.9515-29.0998
1812:29 AM-2.48596-36.0956-33.6096
2412:35 AM-1.44913-33.4316-31.9825
2912:40 AM0.0432999-21.1684-21.2117

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.