Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 13, 2026, 6:59 PM to 7:28 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 13, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -8.30956. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:28 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.7051.74613.2Sep 13, 6:59 PM ET7:28 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:59 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.7051.74613.2Sep 13, 6:59 PM ET7:28 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:59 PM ET-8.30956
Projected value at 7:28 PM ET7.74779
Actual value at 7:28 PM ET14.7353
Projected change across the window+16.0573
Actual change across the window+23.0449
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.70×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.70 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (7:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.193483 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (7:03 PM ET) with a gap of 9.38786. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (7:12 PM ET), a move of +2.03088. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:00 PM-8.55295-7.11838+1.43457
67:05 PM-9.23237-0.422794+8.80957
127:11 PM-2.84006-1.72353+1.11653
187:17 PM3.573411.64706-1.92635
247:23 PM6.17758.96691+2.78941
297:28 PM7.7477914.7353+6.98751

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.