Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 13, 2026, 6:31 PM to 7:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 13, 2026 at 6:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 13.2956. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.0225.9141.79Sep 13, 6:31 PM ET7:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.0225.9141.79Sep 13, 6:31 PM ET7:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:31 PM ET13.2956
Projected value at 7:00 PM ET7.88836
Actual value at 7:00 PM ET16.2721
Projected change across the window-5.40723
Actual change across the window+2.97647
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (6:51 PM ET), where they sat 1.73526 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (6:33 PM ET) with a gap of 26.9585. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (6:50 PM ET), a move of +3.16912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:32 PM30.746814.7353-16.0115
66:37 PM43.628521.6743-21.9543
126:43 PM34.061116.0743-17.9868
186:49 PM22.199611.4809-10.7187
246:55 PM13.741819.7191+5.97733
297:00 PM7.8883616.2721+8.3837

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.