Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 13, 2026, 6:24 PM to 6:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 13, 2026 at 6:24 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 19.5088. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-78.9-32.3214.26Sep 13, 6:24 PM ET6:53 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-78.9-32.3214.26Sep 13, 6:24 PM ET6:53 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:24 PM ET19.5088
Projected value at 6:53 PM ET11.4093
Actual value at 6:53 PM ET4.375
Projected change across the window-8.09956
Actual change across the window-15.1338
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (6:47 PM ET), where they sat 0.032844 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:24 PM ET) with a gap of 104.66. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (6:35 PM ET), a move of +3.16912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:25 PM-75.461518.2544+93.7159
66:30 PM-21.721210.2941+32.0153
126:36 PM15.127717.3691+2.24142
186:42 PM16.421316.5191+0.0978308
246:48 PM12.542111.764-0.778084
296:53 PM11.40934.375-7.03427

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.