Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 4:23 PM to 4:52 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 4:23 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -23.0838. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:52 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.23-7.4386.356Sep 11, 4:23 PM ET4:52 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:23 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.23-7.4386.356Sep 11, 4:23 PM ET4:52 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:23 PM ET-23.0838
Projected value at 4:52 PM ET0.138879
Actual value at 4:52 PM ET-9.59706
Projected change across the window+23.2227
Actual change across the window+13.4868
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.72 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (4:35 PM ET), where they sat 0.795463 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (4:48 PM ET) with a gap of 23.0732. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (4:42 PM ET), a move of -5.35735. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:24 PM-5.03978-21.911-16.8712
64:29 PM-0.645331-16.5066-15.8613
124:35 PM1.082960.2875-0.795463
184:41 PM0.8931744.39632+3.50315
244:47 PM0.727045-20.7-21.427
294:52 PM0.138879-9.59706-9.73594

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.