Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 4:20 PM to 4:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 4:20 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.8434. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.51-7.0566.401Sep 11, 4:20 PM ET4:49 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.51-7.0566.401Sep 11, 4:20 PM ET4:49 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:20 PM ET-19.8434
Projected value at 4:49 PM ET-0.20785
Actual value at 4:49 PM ET0.460294
Projected change across the window+19.6355
Actual change across the window+20.3037
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (4:25 PM ET), where they sat 0.258789 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (4:42 PM ET) with a gap of 20.5127. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (4:36 PM ET), a move of -5.35735. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:21 PM-12.5801-18.6566-6.07647
64:26 PM-9.03598-6.64338+2.3926
124:32 PM-4.55726.95515+11.5123
184:38 PM-2.76253-10.0353-7.27276
244:44 PM-1.03427-19.7331-18.6988
294:49 PM-0.207850.460294+0.668144

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.