Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 3:35 PM to 4:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 3:35 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 46.9978. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.51228.455.29Sep 11, 3:35 PM ET4:04 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:35 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.51228.455.29Sep 11, 3:35 PM ET4:04 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:35 PM ET46.9978
Projected value at 4:04 PM ET0.149531
Actual value at 4:04 PM ET15.3824
Projected change across the window-46.8483
Actual change across the window-31.6154
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.48×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.48 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:04 PM ET), where they sat 15.2328 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (3:39 PM ET) with a gap of 57.62. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (4:04 PM ET), a move of -8.75882. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:36 PM-0.97822550.7426+51.7209
63:41 PM1.4018558.0272+56.6254
123:47 PM-0.18374440.0147+40.1984
183:53 PM-0.33674923.7051+24.0419
243:59 PM-0.02002134.5691+34.5891
294:04 PM0.14953115.3824+15.2328

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.