Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 12:49 PM to 1:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 12:49 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 33.8691. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.237.77630.78Sep 11, 12:49 PM ET1:18 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.237.77630.78Sep 11, 12:49 PM ET1:18 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:49 PM ET33.8691
Projected value at 1:18 PM ET-0.0828512
Actual value at 1:18 PM ET15.1654
Projected change across the window-33.952
Actual change across the window-18.7037
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (1:03 PM ET), where they sat 2.00185 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:49 PM ET) with a gap of 31.4959. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (1:04 PM ET), a move of -14.4647. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:50 PM0.88680525.2603+24.3735
612:55 PM-2.7180519.4088+22.1269
121:01 PM-0.39376319.3279+19.7217
181:07 PM-0.581963-3.80221-3.22024
241:13 PM-0.37824412.2375+12.6157
291:18 PM-0.082851215.1654+15.2483

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.