Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 12:18 PM to 12:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.39779. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.04-2.47513.09Sep 11, 12:18 PM ET12:47 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.04-2.47513.09Sep 11, 12:18 PM ET12:47 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:18 PM ET7.39779
Projected value at 12:47 PM ET0.0932851
Actual value at 12:47 PM ET15.1838
Projected change across the window-7.30451
Actual change across the window+7.78603
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (12:28 PM ET), where they sat 4.3957 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:18 PM ET) with a gap of 25.6291. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:19 PM ET), a move of -4. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:19 PM-19.12763.39779+22.5254
612:24 PM-18.5708-5.32794+13.2429
1212:30 PM-15.0638-8.83382+6.22998
1812:36 PM-10.52536.28015+16.8054
2412:42 PM-3.2889813.2441+16.5331
2912:47 PM0.093285115.1838+15.0905

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.