Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 5:50 AM to 6:19 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 5:50 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 32.7. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:19 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.509415.5930.67Sep 11, 5:50 AM ET6:19 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:50 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.509415.5930.67Sep 11, 5:50 AM ET6:19 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:50 AM ET32.7
Projected value at 6:19 AM ET0.19843
Actual value at 6:19 AM ET8.62868
Projected change across the window-32.5016
Actual change across the window-24.0713
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.35×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.35 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (6:09 AM ET), where they sat 0.0914936 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:50 AM ET) with a gap of 29.7011. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (6:07 AM ET), a move of -3.62279. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:51 AM2.7016231.7404+29.0388
65:56 AM1.5333823.6581+22.1247
126:02 AM0.66295914.3809+13.7179
186:08 AM0.1974091.43603+1.23862
246:14 AM-0.0860725.14853+5.2346
296:19 AM0.198438.62868+8.43025

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.