Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 5:48 AM to 6:17 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 5:48 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 31.7404. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:17 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.452615.1129.77Sep 11, 5:48 AM ET6:17 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:48 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.452615.1129.77Sep 11, 5:48 AM ET6:17 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:48 AM ET31.7404
Projected value at 6:17 AM ET-0.147684
Actual value at 6:17 AM ET10.95
Projected change across the window-31.8881
Actual change across the window-20.7904
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.53 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (6:06 AM ET), where they sat 0.171054 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:48 AM ET) with a gap of 29.1421. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (6:04 AM ET), a move of -3.62279. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:49 AM2.5505531.525+28.9744
65:54 AM1.602320.736+19.1337
126:00 AM0.47178413.4125+12.9407
186:06 AM0.0637015-0.107353-0.171054
246:12 AM0.07315785.27132+5.19817
296:17 AM-0.14768410.95+11.0977

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.