Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 5:13 AM to 5:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 5:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.3676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.895.59821.09Sep 11, 5:13 AM ET5:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.895.59821.09Sep 11, 5:13 AM ET5:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:13 AM ET10.3676
Projected value at 5:42 AM ET-1.48436
Actual value at 5:42 AM ET23.1669
Projected change across the window-11.852
Actual change across the window+12.7993
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (5:23 AM ET), where they sat 4.54435 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (5:41 AM ET) with a gap of 24.6739. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (5:32 AM ET), a move of +3.25368. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:14 AM-10.89178.53162+19.4233
65:19 AM-11.971.24044+13.2104
125:25 AM-10.0289-3.71912+6.30979
185:31 AM-7.438099.49559+16.9337
245:37 AM-3.594418.2559+21.8503
295:42 AM-1.4843623.1669+24.6513

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.