Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 4:37 AM to 5:06 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 4:37 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.7581. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:06 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.517518.1136.74Sep 11, 4:37 AM ET5:06 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:37 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.517518.1136.74Sep 11, 4:37 AM ET5:06 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:37 AM ET26.7581
Projected value at 5:06 AM ET-2.30676
Actual value at 5:06 AM ET7.725
Projected change across the window-29.0648
Actual change across the window-19.0331
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.53 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (4:39 AM ET), where they sat 1.13569 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (4:45 AM ET) with a gap of 16.1964. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (4:48 AM ET), a move of -4.72353. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:38 AM35.275829.0331-6.24271
64:43 AM26.247339.2375+12.9902
124:49 AM14.675623.7066+9.03098
184:55 AM5.2971615.1912+9.89401
245:01 AM-0.4374545.45221+5.88966
295:06 AM-2.306767.725+10.0318

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.