Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 4:35 AM to 5:04 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 4:35 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 29.0331. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:04 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

3.58422.0340.47Sep 11, 4:35 AM ET5:04 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:35 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

3.58422.0340.47Sep 11, 4:35 AM ET5:04 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:35 AM ET29.0331
Projected value at 5:04 AM ET1.1071
Actual value at 5:04 AM ET3.225
Projected change across the window-27.926
Actual change across the window-25.8081
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (4:38 AM ET), where they sat 0.0371176 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:35 AM ET) with a gap of 13.9105. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (4:45 AM ET), a move of -4.72353. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:36 AM41.878931.9426-9.93624
64:41 AM30.059538.7022+8.64274
124:47 AM18.707520.1787+1.47117
184:53 AM10.243916.7875+6.54363
244:59 AM4.47425.96324+1.48903
295:04 AM1.10713.225+2.1179

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.