Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 4:28 AM to 4:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 4:28 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 35.3941. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.28612.7132.71Sep 11, 4:28 AM ET4:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:28 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.28612.7132.71Sep 11, 4:28 AM ET4:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:28 AM ET35.3941
Projected value at 4:57 AM ET-0.301806
Actual value at 4:57 AM ET-1.52279
Projected change across the window-35.6959
Actual change across the window-36.9169
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (4:35 AM ET), where they sat 0.107161 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (4:53 AM ET) with a gap of 10.9668. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (4:50 AM ET), a move of -4.85294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:29 AM23.28730.8846+7.59758
64:34 AM14.850116.4096+1.55944
124:40 AM13.434511.6353-1.79916
184:46 AM6.1657110.5022+4.3365
244:52 AM0.440601-9.05809-9.49869
294:57 AM-0.301806-1.52279-1.22099

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.