Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 4:24 AM to 4:53 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 4:24 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.1787. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:53 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.1865.10418.39Sep 11, 4:24 AM ET4:53 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:24 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.1865.10418.39Sep 11, 4:24 AM ET4:53 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:24 AM ET20.1787
Projected value at 4:53 AM ET0.566894
Actual value at 4:53 AM ET-8.14118
Projected change across the window-19.6118
Actual change across the window-28.3199
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (4:40 AM ET), where they sat 0.125049 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (4:44 AM ET) with a gap of 13.6457. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (4:42 AM ET), a move of -4.85294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:25 AM11.652217.6706+6.0184
64:30 AM11.642716.7875+5.14485
124:36 AM9.284985.96324-3.32174
184:42 AM6.32186-1.62794-7.9498
244:48 AM2.04523-3.01765-5.06288
294:53 AM0.566894-8.14118-8.70807

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.