Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 4:22 AM to 4:51 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 4:22 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 16.4096. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:51 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.8492.63115.11Sep 11, 4:22 AM ET4:51 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:22 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.8492.63115.11Sep 11, 4:22 AM ET4:51 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:22 AM ET16.4096
Projected value at 4:51 AM ET0.311766
Actual value at 4:51 AM ET-11.525
Projected change across the window-16.0978
Actual change across the window-27.9346
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.58×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.58 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (4:36 AM ET), where they sat 0.0990782 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (4:41 AM ET) with a gap of 14.6177. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (4:38 AM ET), a move of -4.85294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:23 AM11.490915.2713+3.78042
64:28 AM9.0645111.6353+2.57079
124:34 AM7.9617110.5022+2.54049
184:40 AM5.4063-9.05809-14.4644
244:46 AM2.62439-2.14853-4.77292
294:51 AM0.311766-11.525-11.8368

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.