Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 4:17 AM to 4:46 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 4:17 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.6941. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:46 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.091.98914.07Sep 11, 4:17 AM ET4:46 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:17 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.091.98914.07Sep 11, 4:17 AM ET4:46 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:17 AM ET15.6941
Projected value at 4:46 AM ET1.65942
Actual value at 4:46 AM ET3.07794
Projected change across the window-14.0347
Actual change across the window-12.6162
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (4:23 AM ET), where they sat 0.198579 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (4:31 AM ET) with a gap of 14.7019. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (4:46 AM ET), a move of +4.85441. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:18 AM7.0822411.6353+4.55305
64:23 AM8.129368.32794+0.198579
124:29 AM5.50017-5.18971-10.6899
184:35 AM4.63485-1.52279-6.15765
244:41 AM2.62237-11.525-14.1474
294:46 AM1.659423.07794+1.41852

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.